Sunday 19 April

Number 3

Congratulations to Ken Brown who was the only person to submit the correct solution.

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RobHEdi
RobHEdi
10 months ago

If diamonds are 3-2, then at matchpoints you’re going to score badly unless you make 11 tricks, as most of the field will simply try to cash the AKQ diamonds and hope for the 3-2 split, and they’ll succeed.
So I would simply do what the field does and take the same risk. You may be able to stop the hearts.

Gerald Della-Porta
Gerald Della-Porta
10 months ago

probabilities S split 3:3 D split 3:2 or 4:1 H split 4:3 C 4:4 with C K Q split

win SA play C10 to K or Q if N wins play Cx to finesse S

tricks 3S 3D 2C and 4th S or 4th D

Ken Brown
Ken Brown
10 months ago

The opening lead suggests that North does not have 4 hearts to an honour. Thus if North leads hearts I seem to have an excellent chance of stopping hearts whereas if South leads the suit I may well lose 4 hearts. Hence I take the first trick with AS, lead a low diamond inserting the 9D if South plays low. Subsequently I can stop the hearts, play KD and return to the diamond suit via a spade. If South covers 9D I take the trick with KD and then must depend on a 3-2 diamond split.